Posted: March 1st, sovaldi 2015 Author: Dan Lewis No Comments »
We have recently added a major new dimension to UKcrimeStats – daytime and residential populations and even hectares and population densities for all the subdivisions and constituencies except County Council wards.
If you want an example of why this matters, check take this example of Manchester City Centre ward, which has a 5 times greater population in the daytime, than its residential one. With crime rate, you aim to deflate for the impact of population because more people – if it is a crime against a person – creates more victims and opportunities for crime. So when you see figures showing city centres having the highest crime rates, it’s almost always because they have not deflated for the impact of daytime population increases. That means that someone present in a given area is in fact less likely to to be affected by crime relative to the standard residential population size because the daytime population is, in this case, so much bigger.
It is even more profound in Westminster, where the population can rise 7 or more times during the day – like in the constituency of the Cities of London and Westminster, Mark Field MP’s constituency. So instead of ranking 1 for crime by constituency between Jan – Dec 2014 by crime rate calculated by residential population, by daytime population, it ranks 421 out of the 573 we have (none for Scotland, Northern Ireland coming soon).
