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    The EPC's vision is to close the gap between economic policy and knowledge. Ultimately it brings together economic opinion formers - in academia, business, the media and government - in new and innovative ways.

  • Ofcom’s Postcode Broadband Connectivity Data now on UKCrimeStats

    August 7th, 2019

    So where are the worst and best broadband spots across the whole country?

    Using our new feature https://ukcrimestats.com/Broadband/ you can find out. I’m always amazed how many people buy or move into any new place without having a serious idea of how good the broadband and mobile connectivity data is. And I would include myself in that category. But this should help you.

    We have matched the official broadband connectivity data released by Ofcom by postcode to the postcode centroids (a latitude/longitude fix for each of the 1.6 million postcodes) to every geospatial shape, population by postcode census figure and households by postcode figure to give you new insights into the unfortunately, still rather large broadband not-spots across the country. You can also rank results and export all of them to excel for further analysis.

    Some caveats;

    1. the number of households (data we’ve inserted – approx 28 million) is not the same as the number of premises (homes + buildings not lived in – approx 30 million). However, the superfast contracts – bringing fibre to the cabinet – actually didn’t include business parks/premises (poor decision, that one imho). Some of those left-behind buldings have since pursued their own solutions which are off Ofcom’s radar. And most have not.
    2. Residential populations have changed a bit since the 2011 census, mostly upwards. Precise figures available with the next census in 2021.
    3. Ofcom’s data is from mid-2018. Granted, there has been quite a lot of progress since then. Depending on whom you believe, UK full fibre coverage extends between 7% and 3% across the whole country. BT’s own Openreach “fibre” checker nevertheless now refers to the same Ofcom data. And there is some debate about whether the 7% includes premises passed, premises connected and premises actually buying full fibre to the premises products. Even then, some of it – thinking of KCOM in Hull – seems to offer full fibre products at copper speeds.
    4. Postcode unit shapes do not fit nicely inside any other geospatial shape like constituency, ward etc. – if only! They overlap. So this is an approximation, but a good one because the middle of a postcode, the centroid is applied consistently across all 1.6 million. So in the round, it’s accurateish.
    5. We are working on the data on Scotland – coming very soon, equally Northern Ireland.
    6. This is not a caveat, if you want serious accuracy for all – government really should release the full postcode address file (i.e. 1 acme road, town, postcode x 28 million), the uprn (individual premises building number with a lat/long) for every building and the full postcode unit shape, all free of charge. At the moment, only big business can afford to pay the fees to government financed/protected monopolies for these (Ordnance Survey/Post Office). That’s actually a disgrace because it tilts the barriers to entry against start-ups and small businesses who will drive our future innovatiuon and growth from zero to 1. I used to push this argument a lot with my former colleagues at the Institute of Directors. Understandably, bright as many people are in the policy world, not many have the data brains to get to grips with it, unless they work with data. I’m very hopeful that the new Boris government will see the light and unleash creative spirits by taking this extremely high yielding – and – cheap step forward. Open data has lost its way, it’s time to re-invigorate the cause.


    Article source: http://ukcrimestats.com/blog/2019/08/07/ofcoms-postcode-broadband-connectivity-data-now-on-ukcrimestats/

    Using the heatmap on UKCrimeStats.com

    June 18th, 2019

    So I decided to do my first video, now on youtube.com so you can see how it works. The bigger the radius and the number of crimes in the area, the longer it takes to load – so please bear that in mind. Apart from that I hope it’s fairly self-explanatory. As always, any questions or suggestions, don’t hesitate to get in touch.

    Using the crime heatmap on UKCrimestats.com


    Article source: http://ukcrimestats.com/blog/2019/06/18/using-the-heatmap-on-ukcrimestats-com/

    Updates underway . . .

    June 4th, 2019

    Crime for April 2019, Property prices for April 2019, Corporate Ownership data and latest postcodes. Always plenty to do here to keep this website up to date for all our users.


    Article source: http://ukcrimestats.com/blog/2019/06/04/updates-underway/

    All LSOA and MSOA populations 2012-2017 now available

    June 4th, 2019

    We have crime data going back to December 2010 and populations can change quite quickly. We now have a full set of annual official estimates for the small area Lower Layer Super Output Areas (LSOAs) and Middle Super Output Areas (MSOAs). The very latest available year is 2017, we expect to see 2018 in the Autumn. Population is essential to calculating crime rates or crime rates per hectare (a unique UKCrimeStats feature) to deflate/inflate the impact of crime relative to the size of the resident population.


    Article source: http://ukcrimestats.com/blog/2019/06/04/all-lsoa-and-msoa-populations-2012-2017-now-available/


    May 31st, 2019

    The leading crime and postcode data research and analysis platform

    Article source: http://ukcrimestats.com/blog/2019/05/29/test/

    Crime data now updated to February 2019

    April 12th, 2019

    All done. Kent Police however is still far behind on catching up with missing data. Officially, the changelog says that they are only missing ASB data from November 2018 due to a change in IT systems.
    But it seems to go much deeper than that. In a typical month, Kent
    would report 20k crime and ASB incidents but the data from November to
    February is only showing 3k and 6k crimes which can’t be explained by a
    missing 2-3k ASB incidents. I shall take it up with them directly.


    Article source: http://ukcrimestats.com/blog/2019/04/12/crime-data-now-updated-to-february-2019/

    Where were the 10 worst hotspots for bike theft in 2018?

    April 11th, 2019

    I’ve looked at this using postcode sectors – a small unit and probably the most relevant. This is something you can easily query with a ukcrimestats login. Here are the top 10 – I knew Cambridge was bad, but not that bad !


    Article source: http://ukcrimestats.com/blog/2019/04/11/where-were-the-10-worst-hotspots-for-bike-theft-in-2018/

    How much crime do we actually know about?

    April 10th, 2019

    A good piece in the BBC here recently – Crime figures: Do the police know how much there really is?

    I’m always at pains to stress the limitations of crime data when people phone/email me – as they frequently do. I even republished a chapter by Nick Ross, formerly of Crimewatch from his excellent book, Crime: How to solve it – and why so much of we’re told is wrong. By it’s nature crime is secretive and there will always be a gap between actual crime, reported crime and recorded crime.

    I have long argued that it is wrong for the Police Forces to be in charge of the collection and collation of crime data and statistics because that is how they are held to account and there is a clear conflict of interest.

    A bit like students marking their own exam papers.

    There has to be a better way.

    For all that, crime data in England, Wales and Northern Ireland – is for researchers, the number one crime dataset in the world. Monthly data from 2011, divided into crime types and fairly closely geospatially located. I would never argue that it’s perfect, but I’m confident that it is the most transparent crime dataset in the world – both in scale and detail.

    And something, in this case, a substantial something, is far better than nothing.


    Article source: http://ukcrimestats.com/blog/2019/04/09/how-much-crime-do-we-actually-know-about/