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    The EPC's vision is to close the gap between economic policy and knowledge. Ultimately it brings together economic opinion formers - in academia, business, the media and government - in new and innovative ways.

  • Property prices now updated to May 2015

    July 15th, 2015

    Posted: July 15th, 2015  Author:   No Comments »

    As always, a word of caution, the last month’s sales – property prices paid in England and Wales – are typically at least 50% missing – see here http://ukcrimestats.com/PropertySales/NationalPicture#Totals – so we would fully expect when we have the next month’s data to see May’s figures revised from 23,371 up to the 50-80k range.

    Please note this is different data from the ONS House price index which uses mortgage financed transactions data collected by the Council of Mortgage Lenders which does not cover all mortgage lenders. And not everyone buys with a mortgage of course. We use the Land Registry data, which details each transaction and location.

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    Article source: http://ukcrimestats.com/blog/2015/07/15/property-prices-now-updated-to-may-2015/

    Crime data now updated to May 2015

    July 12th, 2015

    Posted: July 12th, 2015  Author:   No Comments »

    Property data for May 2015 will be updated shortly too. We’ve also fixed a couple of bugs that creeped in;

    i) http://ukcrimestats.com/LSOA/ – the report and export generating function is now working flawlessly

    ii) http://ukcrimestats.com/MembersArea/Analysis/ (only visible to subscribers) – this page which allows users to see which Police Force all the way down to subdivision, postcode sector, workzone etc. had the largest or smallest increase by percentage or total / or specific type of crime across the whole country between two dates. This is now working well too.

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    Article source: http://ukcrimestats.com/blog/2015/07/12/crime-data-now-updated-to-may-2015/

    Some of the features of our property price database

    July 12th, 2015

    Posted: July 12th, 2015  Author:   No Comments »

    We will shortly have May 2015 data uploaded for property prices. One of the things we’ve noticed by the way with property data is the latest month is always incomplete – see here http://ukcrimestats.com/PropertySales/NationalPicture#Totals . Basically, the latest month is always less than 50% complete. And the previous few months are often heavily revised, the earlier data is much more stable. So we are taking our time to make sure that it is correct.

    In the meantime, we’re quite excited about the new capabilities we can offer subscribers, here’s just one;

    1. http://ukcrimestats.com/PropertySales/Analysis the ability to see across the whole of England and Wales, which subdivision, postcode district/sector, LSOA or MSOA, had the greatest increase/decrease in either total value of sales or average price or even maximum or minimum price between two selected time points of all types of properties or filtered according to property type?

    You can also export the data too so you can get a very clear national snapshot based on price paid data.

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    Article source: http://ukcrimestats.com/blog/2015/07/12/some-of-the-features-of-our-property-price-database/

    Population updated to ONS mid-2013 estimates

    March 21st, 2015

    Posted: March 21st, 2015  Author:   No Comments »

    We have just updated our residential population to the latest ONS mid-2013 estimates. This applies to;

    LSOAS

    MSOAS

    Parliamentary Constituencies in England and Wales

    and Wards

    This also affects our Postcode Data Generator which now has updated numbers for postcodes matched to LSOAs.

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    Article source: http://ukcrimestats.com/blog/2015/03/21/population-updated-to-ons-mid-2013-estimates/

    Updated now with MSOA daytime populations and multi-month / year LSOA reports

    March 11th, 2015

    Posted: March 11th, 2015  Author:   No Comments »

    A couple of major advances – we now have MSOA daytime population data so you can adjust for the impact of daytime population. See our MSOA page here – to run the report and export the data requires a membership.

    Secondly, you can now run reports for LSOA for as many months as you want – i.e. across the whole country for 12 months, 24 etc. and see the crime totals, crime rates and also daytime population crime rates.

    More upgrades coming shortly.

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    Article source: http://ukcrimestats.com/blog/2015/03/11/updated-now-with-msoa-daytime-populations-and-multi-month-year-lsoa-reports/

    The importance of weighting for daytime population

    March 7th, 2015

    Posted: March 1st, 2015  Author:   No Comments »

    We have recently some additional daytime population data to ukcrimestats. We already had it for lower layer super output area and now have it for constituencies and some subdivisions.

    If you want an example of why this matters, take this example of Manchester City Centre ward, which has a 5 times greater population in the daytime, than its residential one. With crime rate, you aim to deflate for the impact of population because more people – if it is a crime against a person – creates more victims and opportunities for crime. So when you see figures showing city centres having the highest crime rates, it’s almost always because they have not deflated for the impact of daytime population increases. That means that someone present  in a given area is in fact  less likely to to be affected by crime relative to the standard residential population size because the daytime population is, in this case, so much bigger.

    It is even more profound in Westminster, where the population can rise 7 or more times during the day – like in the constituency of the Cities of London and Westminster, Mark Field MP’s constituency. So instead of ranking 1 for crime by constituency between Jan – Dec 2014 by crime rate calculated by residential population, by daytime population, it ranks 421 out of the 573 we have (none for Scotland, Northern Ireland coming soon).

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    Article source: http://ukcrimestats.com/blog/2015/03/01/daytime-population-upgrades-for-ukcrimestats-com/

    January 2015 updated and Postcode Data Generator Upgrades

    March 7th, 2015

    Posted: March 6th, 2015  Author:   No Comments »

    We recently ran the January 2015 update and found one really odd bit;

    http://www.ukcrimestats.com/Neighbourhood/5948 – this neighbourhood in Wales where crime went from a monthly average of 1 to 340 !

    We are confident that the data as released says this, as it does on police.uk http://www.police.uk/north-wales/GSW09/ but it’s either wrong or there was a major event there that I’m unaware of. So if anyone knows, please email us and let us know and we will publish an update.

    Secondly, we have just done some exciting upgrades to the Postcode Data Generator.

    Now you can match postcodes to Workplace Zones and 1 mile radius counts of crimes from a postcode centroid. Take a look at it here

    http://ukcrimestats.com/postcode_tool/

    Workplace Zones arguably are in some ways better than Lower Layer Super Output Areas as they are smaller and there are more of them, about 50,000 compared to 34,000.

     

     

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    Article source: http://ukcrimestats.com/blog/2015/03/06/january-2015-updated-and-postcode-data-generator-upgrades/

    Daytime population upgrades for UkcrimeStats.com

    March 3rd, 2015

    Posted: March 1st, 2015  Author:   No Comments »

    We have recently added a major new dimension to UKcrimeStats – daytime and residential populations and even hectares and population densities for all the subdivisions and constituencies except County Council wards.

    If you want an example of why this matters, take this example of Manchester City Centre ward, which has a 5 times greater population in the daytime, than its residential one. With crime rate, you aim to deflate for the impact of population because more people – if it is a crime against a person – creates more victims and opportunities for crime. So when you see figures showing city centres having the highest crime rates, it’s almost always because they have not deflated for the impact of daytime population increases. That means that someone present  in a given area is in fact  less likely to to be affected by crime relative to the standard residential population size because the daytime population is, in this case, so much bigger.

    It is even more profound in Westminster, where the population can rise 7 or more times during the day – like in the constituency of the Cities of London and Westminster, Mark Field MP’s constituency. So instead of ranking 1 for crime by constituency between Jan – Dec 2014 by crime rate calculated by residential population, by daytime population, it ranks 421 out of the 573 we have (none for Scotland, Northern Ireland coming soon).

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    Article source: http://ukcrimestats.com/blog/2015/03/01/daytime-population-upgrades-for-ukcrimestats-com/

    Postcodes now matched & ranked to energy consumption

    March 1st, 2015

    Posted: February 28th, 2015  Author:   No Comments »

    We are growing our data portfolio for you. Whenever you now look up a postcode, it is automatically linked to energy consumption data on a sister site of UKCrimeStats – the energy postcode app of Future Energy Strategies. Basically, we have postcode centroids matched to 4 years of annual gas and electricity consumption by lower layer super output areas in England and Wales.

    More to come.

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    Article source: http://ukcrimestats.com/blog/2015/02/28/postcodes-now-matched-ranked-to-energy-consumption/